A look back at Dr. Stock's prediction from September 2021 of how many Americans could die from the Covid vaccine

1 1/2 to 2 percent, he said. But it was just a guess. No one knew. Now we do. Kind of.

The Indiana Policy Review published this piece that I wrote, below, in the first week of October, 2021.

Looking back on it is startling because it was based on a phone conversation I had with Dr. Dan Stock in September of 2021 in which he guessed that the Covid vaccine would kill between 1 1/2 and 2 percent of all Americans. He also predicted that double the number would die from the vaccine than would have died without it.

Neither of us knew it at the time, but there was a mass die-off happening already, with working Americans the hardest hit. And the very month that we were speaking — September — was the high water mark of deaths …. something Dr. Stock could not have known at the time.

It was three months later, at the end of December 2021, that I broke the life insurance story, quoting the CEO of OneAmerica saying deaths among working people covered by life insurance were up by 40 percent in the third quarter of 2021 (July-September) — a number that was “unheard of” in the history of the insurance industry and four times higher than for a once-in-200-year catastrophe.

In January of 2022, when the Society of Actuaries released its mortality report, we saw the breakdown of the numbers on a series of tables.

Deaths among working people age 35-54 had more than doubled, meaning that Dr. Stock had made an incredible prediction that was coming true even as he made it.

Deaths among people age 35-44 in the third quarter of 2021 were 217% of the baseline, which was 2019 deaths.

Deaths among people age 45-54 in the third quarter were 208% of the 2019 baseline.

The data came from 20 of the top 21 largest group term life insurance companies in the United States that service employers, and represented all claims filed through September 30, 2021.

On the excess mortality table above, the percentage increase represents the percentage increase in the number of claims filed when a working person covered by a group life insurance policy through their employer passed away.

These numbers are irrefutable.

But to Dr. Stock’s claim of 1 1/2 to 2 percent, it was high, and we can be thankful for that.

How many have died from the vaccine in the United States?

In 2021 and 2022, deaths from Covid are mixed with vaccine deaths. Death certificates, from which the CDC draws its data on cause of death, cannot be relied upon to tell the truth about either.

In fact, only a handful of death certificates have listed the Covid vaccine as a cause of death.

So how many died?

Open VAERS says there are 37,382 reports of people dying from the Covid vaccine.

We know only a small fraction of adverse events are ever reported to VAERS. One study showed it was less than 1 percent.

But there has been a great deal more awareness of VAERS since that study was conducted, and there was an explosion of information online around the Covid-19 vaccine, so I don’t believe it is reasonable to assume that 1 percent of deaths from the Covid vaccine were reported. Also, doctors are required by law to report deaths that occur not long after a vaccine, and even though we know there is no enforcement of this law and that many doctors still don’t report, I think we have to assume that we’re much higher than 1 percent territory. I’ve been working with the assumption that on deaths from the Covid vaccine, between 10 and 20 percent are reported to VAERS. This would mean the high number of actual deaths would be about 370,000 at most. But it could be much more.

It’s a staggering loss of human life — close to the number of American servicemen who died in WWII — but thankfully not as high as Dr. Stock’s guess in September of 2021, which would have been more than 3 million.

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Indiana Doctor Concerned About Vaccine Safety

By Margaret Menge

Dr. Dan Stock wants to warn people about the Covid-19 vaccines.

Nine months to a year after getting them, many people are going to get sick and many will die, he says. The word he used to describe what is likely to happen is “holocaust.”

Could he be right?

Stock lists three reasons. The first is the spike protein in the vaccines.

“If you just took a human being and you started infusing them with that spike protein, they start getting sick, because it causes massive inflammation,” he said in a phone interview. “So when you give them a vaccine that makes them make their own spike protein, they get massive inflammation. And they have all kinds of things that come from that like blood clotting and Bell’s palsy and other issues like that, several of which they've admitted to.”

The second, he says, is that the vaccines can cause autoimmune disease, which can lead to Bell’s palsy and an MS-like condition called acute transverse myelitis, and, in its fullest form, acute disseminated encephalomyelitis. About 20 percent of people who develop these conditions, he says, will go on to get “frank MS” – frank meaning “unmistakable” in doctor-speak.

The third one, he says, is the worst.

“The big scary thing, and this is the one that I think is going to really be the one that takes this down,” says Dr. Stock, “is this problem of antibody-dependent enhancement, or antibody-mediated enhancement, where the vaccine actually makes the immune system fight wrong and now you actually become more susceptible to Covid-19 death and disease than if you didn't take the vaccine at all."

The best evidence for this, he says, is the animal trials that were done for the other coronaviruses.

“This is the third time we’ve tried to make a coronavirus vaccine,” he says. “They have all ended in antibody-dependent enhancement.”

Dr. Dan Stock

Antibody-dependent enhancement is somewhat of a strange term, given that “enhance” usually has a positive connotation.

But what they’re actually talking about in this case is that the disease itself is enhanced – made worse.

You don’t hear much, if anything, about antibody-dependent enhancement in the mainstream media. But researchers have known about it for more than 50 years. In the 1960s, in a now-infamous case, antibody-dependent enhancement happened in a trial for a vaccine for respiratory syncytial virus. Most of the babies in the trial became very ill when exposed to the virus after vaccination – and two of them died.

In the run-up to the approval of the vaccines for Covid-19, many researchers warned of the risk of antibody-dependent enhancement that could be caused by the new vaccines.

In a September 2020 article entitled “Antibody-dependent enhancement and SARS-CoV-2 vaccines and therapies” that was published in the journal Nature Microbiology (put out by the same company that publishes the prestigious British science journal Nature) the authors warned that antibody-dependent enhancement “has been observed in SARS, MERS and other human respiratory virus infections including RSV and measles which suggests a real risk of ADE for SARS-CoV-2 vaccines and antibody-based interventions.”  (SARS-CoV-2 is the virus that causes Covid-19.)

No vaccine was ever successfully produced for any of these other viruses, and in fact, none ever made it out of stage-1 trials – in large part because while the vaccines appeared initially to work as intended, they ended up making the disease worse.

Shockingly, one of the top vaccine advocates in the United States, Dr. Paul Offit, was warning before the vaccines for Covid-19 were approved that they could very well cause antibody-dependent enhancement. In an undated interview, Offit referenced the vaccine trials for the Dengue virus, saying researchers found that vaccinated children under the age of 9 who’d never been exposed to the virus before “were more likely to die if they’d been vaccinated than if they hadn’t been vaccinated.”

In an October 2020 paper entitled “Informed Consent Disclosure to Vaccine Trial Subjects of Risk of Covid-19 vaccine worsening clinical disease,” the authors warn that the vaccines “may sensitize” people to “more severe disease than if they were not vaccinated” and complain that this risk was hidden from people taking part in the trials – thus obviating true informed consent.

“The specific and significant COVID-19 risk of ADE should have been and should be prominently and independently disclosed to research subjects currently in vaccine trials, as well as those being recruited for the trials and future patients after vaccine approval, in order to meet the medical ethics standard of patient comprehension for informed consent,” they wrote.

The article was published in the International Journal of Clinical Practice and can be found here.

In a November 2020 article in the International Journal of Infectious Diseases entitled “Antibody-dependent enhancement of coronavirus,” the writers warn of the risks inherent in a vaccine for Covid-19, saying, “From previous research on ADE in other coronaviruses, in particular SARS-CoV and MERS-CoV, it appears that the existence of ADE will elicit more severe body injury, while actually reducing the viral load at the same time.”

On Saturday, a former Pfizer employee came forward with a document from Pfizer’s application to the FDA for approval of a booster shot for Covid-19. It seems to show that Pfizer knows that its vaccine results in a higher rate of death several months following vaccination. People who’d been vaccinated were found to be more than three times as likely to get Covid-19 when exposed to it several months after the second shot than were the people who’d never been vaccinated.

But how could any of be right when we are told that the great majority of Covid patients in our hospitals here in Indiana and elsewhere in the United States are unvaccinated?

Dr. Stock’s answer is that vaccinated people are becoming “petrie dishes” for the virus, and are making unvaccinated people sick.

But also, if his timeline is right and antibody-dependent enhancement doesn’t begin until 9-12 months after people have gotten vaccinated, it could be that it just hasn’t hit yet – but will in the coming months.

In Israel, which is roughly three months ahead of the rest of the developed world in vaccinations, hospitalizations recently shot up, with severe cases of Covid-19 increasing 10-fold in just one month. About 60 percent of these severe cases were people who’d been fully vaccinated, Dr. Sharon Alroy-Preis-Speaker, representing the Israeli Ministry of Health, recently told the FDA advisory committee on vaccines. No one knows how many of these severe cases are attributable to antibody-dependent enhancement.

But getting back to Dr. Stock . . .

You probably know of him already, or have at least heard his name.

He’s the Indiana doctor who shot to fame after a video showing him giving it to the Mount Vernon, Indiana, school board on masks and the vaccine went viral online, with versions of the video viewed by more than 2.5 million people before YouTube started taking it down.

I had a friend in Virginia send me the video, and then a friend in Florida, both telling me I needed to drop everything and watch it immediately. So I took a break from my work and watched it.

He said a lot, rapidly. He was so quick and sure, firing away at the hapless board members who had no protection from the rapid-fire bullets of information.

“Everything being recommended by the CDC and state board of health is actually contrary to all the rules of science,” he said. The virus, he told them, will never be eradicated, because it doesn’t just infect humans; it also infects animals (it has “animal reservoirs” was the way he’d said it).

“That is why you keep struggling with this is because you cannot make these viruses go away,” he told the board. “The natural history of all respiratory viruses is that they circulate all year long, waiting for the immune system to get sick through the winter or become deranged, as has happened recently with these vaccines, and then they cause symptomatic disease.”

At the end, the room broke out in applause – and the school board voted against a mask mandate for this school year.

In the weeks that followed, Dr. Stock was a guest on “Tucker Carlson Tonight,” and not long after was interviewed at length by Alex Jones on a special Saturday edition of “InfoWars,” and then was the subject of a strange write-up in the New York Times in which the writers referred to his “bogus claims” without explaining what about them was “bogus.”

Dr. Stock is a 1984 graduate of the University of Notre Dame and got his medical degree from the IU School of Medicine four years later, in 1988. He now lives in Hancock County, northeast of Indianapolis, in the small town of McCordsville on a two-block-long water-ski lake that was carved out of a corn field. He built his dream house there – a dream house that ended up making him ill.

Not long after moving in he had symptoms he couldn’t explain, and so he went to a doctor. But he was given an explanation that made no sense to him.

“I started looking for the answers myself,” he said. “I was already starting to realize there were a lot of things I’d been told in medicine that didn’t pass muster.”

He eventually found out that what was making him sick was mold trapped in the drywall in the new house. He set about fixing the house, and himself.

There were other things that happened. He'd had hip disease, and the doctor had told him it was because he’d played a lot of sports. That explanation made no sense to him. He also had a 39-year-old patient with a serious heart issue that he’d somehow missed – which he remembers as the time he “almost let a 39-year-old die.”

“After that I stopped trusting my teaching,” he says.

He began to read on his own, delving into a study of the immune system and the root causes of disease. He decided to open a functional medicine practice and worked some odd jobs to get it off the ground. He opened the office part-time in Noblesville in 2014, and went full-time in 2017. A little more than a year ago, he moved the office to Fishers. It’s called PureHealth Functional Family Medicine.

What’s interesting about his practice is that he doesn’t take any insurance. He doesn’t bill any third parties at all, which he says is the reason he’s able to give his patients the best advice – there’s no one interfering with the doctor-patient relationship.

“In my practice of functional family medicine, most of my new-patient appointments, if they come in with symptoms and complaints, they’re going to be two hours long,” he told an interviewer in 2019.

Most of us have never had the attention of a doctor for two hours, and never will. We’re lucky if we get 10 minutes at most doctor’s offices.

I first called Dr. Stock for a story about the Chamber of Commerce launching a pressure campaign to get their members to increase the vaccination rate of their employees, and talked with him several times in the weeks that followed.

He’s treated over 15 Covid patients – and lost none.

“I can tell you that between active loading with vitamin D, ivermectin and zinc, that there’s not one person who has come anywhere near the hospital,” he said.

But he does have patients who are vaccine-injured, including a 29-year-old woman who has an MS-like condition. She drives all the way over from Illinois to be seen by him.

When he first told me of his dire prediction that many who’ve gotten the vaccine will die this winter, I listened and tried to assess whether what he was saying could be true, or how likely it was to be true. An impossible task. After getting off the phone, and in the days that followed, I carried around the weight of this knowledge of what may lie ahead and thought hard about whether to report on it. I decided I couldn't keep it to myself. People should know.

I called Dr. Stock several more times, and asked a number of questions. One was how many who’ve gotten the vaccine might die.

He paused for a moment, and did a calculation.

“It’s probably double the amount that would have died without it,” he says, estimating that it could be between 1 ½ to 2 percent of all Americans.

As of last week, 3,270,143 residents of Indiana were fully vaccinated – nearly 49 percent of the total population of the state. One percent of them would be roughly 32,000 people – twice the number who are reported to have died from Covid in Indiana.

The peak of vaccination in the state was in April, and the number of people getting vaccinated each week has fallen off dramatically since then.

If antibody-dependent enhancement usually happens starting nine months after a person is fully vaccinated, then perhaps we’ll see evidence of it in December or January. What will it look like? Like severe cases of Covid in people who’ve been vaccinated. Many of them.

But it could happen sooner.

The data out of Israel, presented to the FDA vaccine advisory committee meeting on Sept. 17, shows that when the rate of effectiveness of the Pfizer vaccine declines just 12 percent, the result is a five-fold increase in severe cases of Covid among people who’ve been vaccinated. The only way to address it is with a booster shot, which Israel began giving its citizens in July.

It almost appears as though boosters will be required every six months, forever, for vaccinated people in order so that antibody-dependent enhancement cannot manifest.

After all, most hospitals cannot handle twice the number of severe Covid cases that they had during the peak of the virus -- and the slide above notes that if they'd kept going up, the number of people needing to be hospitalized would have exceeded Israel's capacity. They would have run out of beds.

So what is to be done? Anything?

Perhaps there is something. Dr. Stock says for people who’ve been vaccinated and get Covid, he’d suggest they “bomb it” with vitamins and minerals – esp. vitamins C and D and zinc, in high doses.

As for our state, and our nation, it’s hard to understand, if this disaster is about to unfold, why we weren't warned, and how the vaccines could have been approved at all.

Yes, it’s a deadly virus – but has been made much more deadly, many of us can see now, by the purposeful withholding of information about low-cost medicines like ivermectin, and by our government's refusing to allow anything that might really heal people to be included in protocols given to hospitals.

Now it may be about to become much worse.

I thought you should know.

Published in the Indiana Policy Review.